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This Thursday 01 Oct at 02:00 PM GMT the latest US ISM Manufacturing PMI number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 83.33% probability that USDCAD will trend up following the news event.
This probability is based on the last 12 US ISM Manufacturing PMI events, in which 1 of the last 6 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of USDCAD.
Here are images of the past events:
Monday 02 Dec at 03:00 PM GMT:
Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance