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This Thursday 01 Jul at 02:00 PM GMT the latest US ISM Manufacturing PMI number will be released.
If the number is greater than than economists’ consensus there is a 87.5% probability that UB will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US ISM Manufacturing PMI events, in which 6 of the last 8 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of UB.

Here are images of the past events:

Tuesday 01 Jun at 02:00 PM GMT:

Thursday 01 Apr at 02:00 PM GMT:

Monday 02 Nov at 03:00 PM GMT:

Tuesday 01 Sep at 02:00 PM GMT:

Monday 03 Aug at 02:00 PM GMT:

Wednesday 01 Jul at 02:00 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance