The latest DE Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash number has been released as 53.0.
There is a 71.42% probability that 6A will trend up for the next few hours.

This probability is based on the last 12 DE Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash events, in which 3 of the last 7 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of 6A.

Here are images of the past events:

Friday 24 Jul at 07:30 AM GMT:

Tuesday 24 Mar at 08:30 AM GMT:

Friday 21 Feb at 08:30 AM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance