The latest AU NAB Business Confidence number has been released as -4.
There is a 71.42% probability that NZDUSD will trend up for the next few hours.

This probability is based on the last 12 AU NAB Business Confidence events, in which 5 of the last 7 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of NZDUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Tuesday 11 Feb at 12:30 AM GMT:

Tuesday 08 Oct at 12:30 AM GMT:

Tuesday 14 May at 01:30 AM GMT:

Monday 01 Apr at 12:30 AM GMT:

Tuesday 12 Mar at 12:30 AM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance