The latest US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index number has been released as 21.9.
There is a 75% probability that EURUSD will trend down for the next few hours.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index events, in which 3 of the last 4 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of EURUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Thursday 17 Jun at 12:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 17 Dec at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 20 Aug at 12:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance