The latest US Retail Sales MoM number has been released as -3%.
There is a 75% probability that GBPUSD will trend down for the next few hours.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Retail Sales MoM events, in which 6 of the last 8 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of GBPUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Friday 15 Jan at 01:30 PM GMT:

Wednesday 16 Dec at 01:30 PM GMT:

Wednesday 16 Sep at 12:30 PM GMT:

Friday 14 Aug at 12:30 PM GMT:

Friday 15 May at 12:30 PM GMT:

Tuesday 17 Mar at 12:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance