The latest EMU Business Confidence number has been released as -1.81.
There is a 77.77% probability that GBPUSD will trend up for the next few hours.

This probability is based on the last 12 EMU Business Confidence events, in which 7 of the last 9 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of GBPUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Monday 30 Mar at 09:00 AM GMT:

Thursday 30 Jan at 10:00 AM GMT:

Wednesday 08 Jan at 10:00 AM GMT:

Friday 27 Sep at 09:00 AM GMT:

Tuesday 30 Jul at 09:00 AM GMT:

Thursday 27 Jun at 09:00 AM GMT:

Tuesday 28 May at 09:00 AM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance