The latest DE Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash number has been released as 58.6.
There is a 77.77% probability that UB will trend down for the next few hours.

This probability is based on the last 12 DE Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash events, in which 7 of the last 9 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of UB.

Here are images of the past events:

Monday 23 Nov at 08:30 AM GMT:

Friday 23 Oct at 07:30 AM GMT:

Wednesday 23 Sep at 07:30 AM GMT:

Friday 24 Jul at 07:30 AM GMT:

Tuesday 23 Jun at 07:30 AM GMT:

Tuesday 24 Mar at 08:30 AM GMT:

Friday 21 Feb at 08:30 AM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance