The latest US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index number has been released as 36.7.
There is a 85.71% probability that USDCAD will trend down for the next few hours.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index events, in which 2 of the last 7 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of USDCAD.

Here are images of the past events:

Thursday 21 Nov at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 19 Sep at 12:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance