EURUSD may trend downwards from 18 May 12:30

EURUSD could trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Housing Starts news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This could happen only if the released value is < 1.765M. The price movement may be as big as 14 pips. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Feb 13:30
17 Nov 13:30
19 Oct 12:30
16 Jun 12:30