We expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past Japan Balance of Trade news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < ¥-35.8B. A price movement of 19 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 May 23:50

19 Apr 23:50

22 Jan 23:50

19 Nov 23:50