We expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 14000K. A price movement of 11 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Aug 22:30	23 Jul 22:30
16 Jul 22:30	25 Jun 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).