GBPUSD may trend downwards from 01 Jul 01:30

We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Australia Balance of Trade news events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < A$10B. A price movement of 48 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 May 01:30
07 Jan 00:30
06 Oct 00:30
03 Sep 01:30
02 Jul 01:30