We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past United States Fed Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 87 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Mar 05:00	17 Dec 06:00
06 Nov 06:00	30 Jul 04:00
30 Apr 04:00	30 Jan 06:00
12 Dec 06:00	31 Oct 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).