Germany Balance of Trade News Event – a possible $185.461 movement on USDCAD

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect a $185.461 movement on USDCAD within 2 hours following the event release at 09 Apr 16:00. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 09 Apr 16:00 if the released value is > €18.2B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Mar 18:00
10 Oct 17:00
09 Sep 16:00
09 Aug 16:00
08 Jul 16:00
07 Jun 16:00
10 May 16:00
08 Apr 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).