Germany Balance of Trade News Event – a possible $290 movement on EURUSD

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect a $290 movement on EURUSD within the next 4 hours. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards for 4 hours because the released value is < € 10.8B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Jan 18:00
08 Oct 17:00
09 Sep 16:00
09 Aug 16:00
08 Jul 16:00
09 Feb 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).