Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a $210 movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2022-11-04 23:30. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2022-11-04 23:30 if the released value is > 200K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Oct 23:30	05 Aug 22:30
03 Jun 22:30	06 May 22:30
05 Mar 00:30	05 Feb 00:30
05 Nov 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).