Based on past United States Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 71.43% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 8.1%. A price movement of 160 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Jun 22:30	11 May 22:30
11 Feb 00:30	11 Nov 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).