Based on the last 12 Tankan Large Manufacturers Index events in Japan, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > -23

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Apr 10:50	01 Oct 09:50
14 Dec 10:50	02 Oct 10:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).