Based on the last 12 Employment Change events in Australia, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > -35K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Apr 11:30	19 Mar 11:30
23 Jan 11:30	19 Dec 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).