Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Germany, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Nov 19:55	28 Oct 18:55
30 Jun 17:55	01 Jun 17:55
29 Apr 17:55

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).