Based on the last 12 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index events in United States, we could see GBPUSD trend downwards right now. Based on historical events there is a 85.71% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 21 Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 00:30	17 Dec 00:30
21 Oct 23:30	19 Aug 22:30
15 Jul 22:30	17 Jun 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).