Based on the last 12 Employment Change events in Australia, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 112.5K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Apr 11:30	20 Feb 11:30
19 Sep 11:30	15 Aug 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).