Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 1.9% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 May 22:30	17 Mar 23:30
14 Dec 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).