Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, GBPUSD could trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 57.6 Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Apr 01:00	05 Jan 02:00
03 Aug 00:00	04 May 00:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).