Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < -0.8% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Mar 23:30	16 Jan 00:30
17 Dec 00:30	18 Nov 00:30
16 Sep 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).