Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 1.25%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Jun 21:45	14 Apr 21:45
10 Mar 23:45	03 Feb 23:45
09 Sep 21:45	10 Jun 21:45
11 Mar 23:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).