Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect USDJPY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 175K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Jan 00:30	06 Sep 22:30
07 Jun 22:30	09 Mar 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).