Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect USDJPY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 3000K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Jan 00:30	04 Oct 22:30
06 Sep 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).