Japan Balance of Trade News Event – a possible $170 movement on GBPUSD

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect a $170 movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 19 Jan 23:50. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 19 Jan 23:50 if the released value is < ¥-784.1B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Dec 23:50
15 Sep 23:50
20 Jul 23:50
15 Jun 23:50
16 Mar 23:50
15 Dec 23:50