NZDUSD may trend downwards from 09 Mar 18:00

We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Germany Balance of Trade news events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > €13.4B. A price movement of 50 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Feb 18:00
09 Dec 18:00
08 Nov 18:00
10 Oct 17:00
09 Aug 16:00
08 Jul 16:00
07 Jun 16:00
10 May 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).