Possible 18 pip movement on NG

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we may see a 18 pip movement on NG within 2 hours following the event release at 04 May 12:30 UTC. NG may trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 04 May 12:30 UTC if the released value is < $-107B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Apr 12:30
08 Mar 13:30
07 Dec 13:30
04 Nov 12:30
05 Oct 12:30
05 Aug 12:30