Possible 21 pip movement on NZDUSD

Based on the last 12 Housing Starts events in United States, we may see a 21 pip movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 16 Jun 12:30 UTC. NZDUSD may trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 16 Jun 12:30 UTC if the released value is > 1.701M

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Jan 13:30
16 Dec 13:30
21 Sep 12:30
20 Jul 12:30