Possible 81 pip movement on GBPUSD

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we may see a 81 pip movement on GBPUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 05 May 22:30 GMT+10. GBPUSD may trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 05 May 22:30 GMT+10 if the released value is > 1400K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Apr 22:30
11 Mar 00:30
04 Mar 00:30
11 Feb 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).