Trade with an edge around todays Australia Balance of Trade news event

Based on past Australia Balance of Trade news events there is a 71.43% chance of GF trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > A$9.05B. A price movement of 229 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Dec 00:30
04 Nov 00:30
02 Sep 01:30
05 Aug 01:30
03 Jun 01:30
04 Mar 00:30