Trade with an edge around todays Australia Balance of Trade news event

Based on past Australia Balance of Trade news events there is a 85.71% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards. A price movement of 19 could occur if the released value is > A$8.5B.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Mar 00:30
02 Dec 00:30
04 Nov 00:30
05 Oct 00:30
05 Aug 01:30
03 Jun 01:30