Based on past Australia Employment Change news events there is a 70% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 50K. A price movement of 171 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Oct 11:30	17 Sep 11:30
13 Aug 11:30	16 Jul 11:30
16 Apr 11:30	19 Mar 11:30
20 Feb 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).