Trade with an edge around todays Australia NAB Business Confidence news event

Based on past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 66.67% chance of USDCHF trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 6. A price movement of 4 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Aug 01:30
12 Apr 01:30
08 Mar 00:30
14 Sep 01:30