Based on past Australia Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 66.67% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 3.3%. A price movement of 92 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Feb 11:30	04 Nov 11:30
04 Oct 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).