Based on past Australia Unemployment Rate news events there is a 81.82% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 4.5%. A price movement of 17 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Dec 11:30	14 Oct 11:30
16 Sep 11:30	19 Aug 11:30
15 Jul 11:30	17 Jun 11:30
15 Apr 11:30	18 Mar 11:30
18 Feb 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).