Trade with an edge around todays Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on past Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 75% chance of ES trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 2,137 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Dec 15:00
27 Oct 14:00
08 Sep 14:00
14 Jul 14:00
09 Jun 14:00
10 Mar 15:00
09 Dec 15:00
28 Oct 14:00
15 Jul 14:00