Trade with an edge around todays Canada Ivey PMI s.a news event

We expect a $240 movement on EURUSD within the next 2 hours. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada release because the released value is < 48.8. A price movement of 24 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Aug 14:00
07 Jul 14:00
06 May 14:00
06 Aug 14:00