Trade with an edge around todays Euro Area Consumer Confidence Flash news event

Based on past Euro Area Consumer Confidence Flash news events there is a 66.67% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > -9. A price movement of 14 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 Oct 14:00
21 May 14:00
22 Apr 14:00
24 Mar 15:00