Trade with an edge around todays Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on past Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 75% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0%. A price movement of 53 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Sep 11:45
04 Jun 11:45
30 Apr 11:45
12 Mar 12:45
23 Jan 12:45
24 Oct 11:45
25 Jul 11:45
06 Jun 11:45
10 Apr 11:45