Trade with an edge around todays Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on past Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of NZDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0%. A price movement of 28 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Oct 11:45
09 Sep 11:45
22 Jul 11:45
10 Jun 11:45
10 Dec 12:45
29 Oct 12:45
10 Sep 11:45
16 Jul 11:45