Trade with an edge around todays Euro Area Unemployment Rate news event

Based on past Euro Area Unemployment Rate news events there is a 80% chance of ES trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 7.2%. A price movement of 1,325 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Dec 10:00
03 Nov 10:00
30 Sep 09:00
01 Sep 09:00