Based on past Euro Area Unemployment Rate news events there is a 80% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 7.4%. A price movement of 77 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jan 21:00	01 Jul 19:00
04 Jun 19:00	30 Apr 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).