Based on past France Unemployment Rate news events there is a 66.67% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 9%. A price movement of 49 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Aug 15:30	14 May 15:30
14 Aug 15:30	16 May 15:30
20 Nov 17:30	14 Aug 15:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).