Based on past France Unemployment Rate news events there is a 71.43% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards. A price movement of 30 could occur if the released value is < 7.4%. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 17:30	13 Aug 15:30
14 May 15:30	13 Feb 17:30
14 Aug 15:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).