Trade with an edge around todays Germany Balance of Trade news event

Based on past Germany Balance of Trade news events there is a 80% chance of USDCAD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > € 14B. A price movement of 15 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Oct 06:00
09 Sep 06:00
09 Aug 06:00
08 Jul 06:00
07 Jun 06:00
10 May 06:00
08 Apr 06:00
11 Mar 07:00